Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.380352 0.489613 0.607946 0.743952 0.894437 1.054523 1.236435
2025-10-19 0.253987 0.405267 0.585238 0.807138 1.066712 1.355278 1.695364
2025-10-26 0.186833 0.355564 0.571015 0.849338 1.186053 1.569776 2.030870
2025-11-02 0.127324 0.299450 0.537128 0.858692 1.260003 1.727411 2.298362
2025-11-09 0.069191 0.225563 0.466065 0.810174 1.254859 1.784964 2.443549
2025-11-16 0.029815 0.162151 0.396729 0.754010 1.232534 1.816031 2.552563
2025-11-23 0.011817 0.125876 0.359772 0.735639 1.253503 1.895850 2.716157
2025-11-30 0.004343 0.106813 0.346551 0.747995 1.312485 2.021027 2.933058
2025-12-07 0.000340 0.084622 0.322760 0.741727 1.344581 2.111191 3.106408
2025-12-14 NaN 0.060810 0.289164 0.716674 1.348618 2.164123 3.232841
2025-12-21 NaN 0.057774 0.298134 0.757956 1.443726 2.332885 3.501615
2025-12-28 NaN 0.057142 0.312208 0.807367 1.550201 2.516341 3.788734
2026-01-04 NaN 0.052617 0.317664 0.845114 1.644114 2.688583 4.068493
2026-01-11 NaN 0.053874 0.337766 0.907884 1.774542 2.909504 4.410652
2026-01-18 NaN 0.051609 0.348160 0.954065 1.881146 3.099303 4.713829
2026-01-25 NaN 0.042247 0.337394 0.963641 1.935160 3.220654 4.931754
2026-02-01 NaN 0.024358 0.293261 0.912149 1.899185 3.223120 4.999978
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010698 0.247654 0.852290 1.847509 3.202507 5.037233
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005116 0.225530 0.832697 1.853452 3.256725 5.167557
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003175 0.220725 0.845879 1.908453 3.376396 5.380952
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001070 0.206645 0.839192 1.932454 3.453936 5.540354
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000004 0.184040 0.812447 1.924218 3.487026 5.642266
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000009 0.194588 0.856503 2.026612 3.670869 5.938000